Green trend lines added to emphasize post-inflection direction. Hell, they were done almost two months ago: Source: WorldometerДЄs for us, at least the trend lines say weвЂ™re well on our way to reducing this to a tolerable nuisance in life, even given the incentives to overcount on both infections and deaths: Instead, they took their hit, moved on, and now their Covid death rate is now essentially nil.ДЇor all practical purposes, Covid in Sweden is done. They didnвЂ™t lock down, and didnвЂ™t destroy their economy. I canвЂ™t believe IвЂ™m typing this, but as an American, IвЂ™m jealous of Sweden. If you can, IвЂ™ll buy you the socially-distanced drink of your choice: See if you can spot the correlation between mask use and deaths/100,000 in the scatter graph below. At great economic and human cost, itвЂ™s been possible to delay infection, but in the end, thereвЂ™s been no stopping it from working its way through the populations, even of countries like Peru which used a heavily militarized approach to ensure enforcement of their draconian lockdown measures. But as hard as we all tried to live in our little hermetic bubbles, thereвЂ™s been virtually no correlation between lockdown efforts and the overall fatality rates, world-over. Within this framework, IвЂ™d like to believe that itвЂ™s still possible to largely shield old folks from catching the disease, and that seems to be where our energy ought to be devoted. It then becomes harder to pass on to the next person, and the overall infection rate tapers off, along the lines suggested by of FarrвЂ™s Law on epidemics. In short: N95 masksвЂ“if anyone had themвЂ“are useful in stopping something like Covid, but the cloth/surgical ones everyone is wearing donвЂ™t actually do much to stop Covid transmission.Дespite everyoneвЂ™s diligence and best intentions, it looks like the only thing which stops Covid from spreading is letting 15-25% of the population catch it, trigger an immune response, and (in almost all cases) shrug off the effects. In case you want the TL DR version re: masks, see this review of the CDC guidelines summary. theoretical) effectiveness in preventing virus spread. Worth checking all the linked articles, particularly the Financial Times piece on Sweden, and Daniel HorowitzвЂ™s wrap-up of the data on masks and their actual (vs. HereвЂ™s the best overall wrap-up of the actual data that IвЂ™ve seen.

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